Solving tests about a mean

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Step 1: Set up the hypothesis right. The null hypothesis is easy. It's usually something like H0: m = some number. You have to read into the question to figure out the alternative hypothesis. There are 2 types: 1) someone claims their product is better, or 2) there is a problem if the null hypothesis is rejected. This table shows some examples.

Our method will make more that 100 widgets per hour H1: m > 100
This traffic sign will result in less than 4 accidents per month H1: m < 4
There is a problem if sales fall below $1000 per day H1: m < 1000
There is a problem if the assembly line has more than 1 defect per hour H1: m > 1
The bottle volume must be maintained at 250 ml (too much or too little is not good) H1: m ¹ 250

Step 2: Figure out whether to use t or Z. As a general rule of thumb, if the sample size is less than 30 and the problem states that the data is normally distributed, use t with (n-1) degrees of freedom. The exception to the under-30 rule is if the population standard deviation (s) is known and the data is normal. Then you use Z.

Step 3: Find the rejection region. This depends on the direction of the alternative hypothesis.

> a in upper tail
< a in lower tail
¹ Split a between upper/lower tail

For example, suppose a = 0.05 and we are using Z. Z0.05 = 1.645 and Z0.025 = 1.96.

> Reject H0 if Z > 1.645
< Reject H0 if Z < -1.645
¹ Reject H0 if Z > 1.96 or Z < -1.96

Step 4: Compute the test statistic and compare it against the critical value. Whether it is Z or t, the statistic is:

eq001

unless s is known, in which case it replaces s in the formula. If the test statistic falls into the rejection region, then you reject H0 and conclude that the alternative hypothesis is correct. Otherwise, you conclude that the null hypothesis is correct.

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